Linux Reaches 5% Desktop Market Share in USA

(ostechnix.com)

Comments

nerdjon 16 July 2025
I have to wonder how much of this is people switching to Linux vs the larger trend of people not having traditional computers to begin with.

Outside of gamers, I don't know anyone that has a computer at home that is not their work laptop if they have one. At least in my circle everyone I know has moved to their general computing being on phones and tablets which is not captured here. So is a solid chunk of this the people that would have already had Linux desktops continuing to have theirs since they would likely be the same people (more technical, needing to do tasks not possible on phones and tablets) less likely to be making that switch.

Basically if the higher percent is due to less desktops overall instead of a major uptick in Linux desktops, it is not really much to celebrate.

Given these numbers are percents I would be very curious.

Now yes there is a clear uptick thanks to the Steam Deck (however with Microsoft pushing their optimized for gaming Windows it will be interesting to see if that continues or goes backwards). But I would be reluctant to call that Linux Desktop anymore than I would call Android an uptick for Linux.

theandrewbailey 16 July 2025
I work in the refurb division of an e-waste recycling company. Due to licensing costs and our certifications, we can't sell anything with Windows. My coworkers install Ubuntu, but I install Linux Mint. We don't have any clue if people keep using Linux or install Windows, but it's cool to think we're helping to move this needle.

Edit: might as well link to the merch: https://www.ebay.com/str/evolutionecycling

jsnell 16 July 2025
The statscounter data is not reliable, and it is just embarrassing how often these posts make it to the HN frontpage.

You even have a demonstration in this very article, with the surge of classic Mac OS to 7% for several months. The data is obviously nonsense, and when it has errors nobody at the company cares about them. But when they have persistent "data reporting issues", why are we supposed to believe any of these numbers?

danso 16 July 2025
For another anecdata point, https://analytics.usa.gov tracks user device demographics to all visitors of U.S. government websites. Which of course might skew in ways different than the general U.S. population. But checking out the numbers right now for Linux users:

Last 30 days: 6%

2025 so far: 5.7%

2024: 4.5%

edit: analytics.usa.gov includes iOS and Android in its operating systems breakdown — e.g. Windows has a 32% share vs OP's 63%. Assuming most of Linux users are on desktop, it could be the case that Linux share in desktop users is a bit higher than 6%

JadoJodo 16 July 2025
I am in this category, but I'm growing increasingly frustrated with the state of the market for OS's:

I've used macOS for work for many years and Arch-based derivatives for personal desktop. The challenge with that has always been gaming: Gaming on Linux _mostly_ works, but third-party launchers (e.g., Battle.net, Origin, etc.) HATE it. I also don't love the Proton shuffle (i.e., "Which version of Proton do I need to use to get this to work?"), but it's tolerable for me. I'll tell you for whom it _isn't_ tolerable: my wife (who mostly uses a different system running Windows 10, but sometimes wants to use the more powerful gaming PC running Linux). And thus the only remaining choice for the home system has been Linux + Windows (in some capacity).

Now, I've not used Windows full-time since 7, but I recently installed Windows 11 (via QEMU using LookingGlass) and it is simply TERRIBLE. There are full-blown ads in the Start Menu, the built-in search ignores your default browser/search engine settings, and (critically) __you can no longer put the Start Menu bar at the top of the screen__ (It's less common, but I've done this my entire life).

I think it comes down to the following wishes:

A. I wish Windows 8/10/11 didn't suck so much.

B. I wish Linux was widely-supported by ALL game platforms.

C. I wish macOS gaming wasn't so expensive.

palata 16 July 2025
I think that there are multiple things at play:

1. The statistics only show Desktop usage relative to each other. But I could totally imagine that macOS "loses" users to iPadOS. Similarly, Windows could be losing users to smartphones in general (I see more and more people who don't actually have a personal computer anymore).

2. Valve (and others, surely) is doing an incredible job with video games on Linux. 20 years ago, I needed a dual boot just to play games. I dropped Windows when I stopped playing, and I started playing again thanks to the Steam Deck. I am convinced that many people today "need" an OS on which they can play video games, except that today they have a choice (thanks to Valve and others).

3. Privacy. I think it's becoming a lot more important outside the US (it's actually now a national security concern there), but I'm convinced that people are slowly learning about that. TooBigTech pushing to train their AIs with everything the users do surely has an impact on that.

BLKNSLVR 16 July 2025
I had a Teams meeting for an outside of work topic this morning. Since all my personal machines are Linux based I was kinda happy I had my work laptop available with Windows and Teams installed.

Booting it up about half an hour before the meeting... Installing updates...

After rebooting twice and only five minutes before the meeting started I reverted to my Linux desktop, opened the email with the link to the Teams meeting and was a minute early using the web version of Teams.

Phew, saved by Linux.

Kudos to Microsoft for making Teams web version operating system and browser agnostic. But fuck what they've done with Windows updates. Numerous coworkers also saying their computers decided to reboot of their own volition the last couple of days in order to install updates.

Maybe it's a worthwhile trade off for security, but I'm glad I had an alternative option this morning.

I'm the five-odd years since switching to Linux exclusive at home, my decision is only ever reconfirmed as correct.

(I'm a reformed gamer from a long while ago, but the very few games I do play I have gotten to work on Linux).

osigurdson 16 July 2025
After installing Arch / Gnome on my laptop last week, I can see why. Everything works completely fine and feels 3X faster than Windows 11. I have Linux on my desktop machine but always hesitated for laptops due to past bad experiences with power management (i.e. something always eventually went wrong when closing the lid). So far, all of that is working perfectly.
andyferris 16 July 2025
I have to ask - what OS do AI-training web scrapers tend to report? (A mixture? One with > 5% linux market share? Sorry, being a sceptic, otherwise I think this is fantastic news if accurately measured).
dosinga 16 July 2025
If you zoom out to say the last 10 years you can see that those graphs go up and down like crazy. The error bars on these numbers must be huge.
ryandv 16 July 2025
Based on the history of the tech industry, Linux adoption should be kept at this level and advanced no further. This is already the sweet spot for the "year of the Linux desktop," which should be celebrated by experts, technical users, and the sufficiently motivated.

Once the unwashed masses start coming in, the software and its interaction patterns pander to the lowest common denominator and the quality of the medium degrades.

mark-r 16 July 2025
A year ago I decided to upgrade my 10 year old motherboard and get something faster. I was hoping my existing Windows 7 SSD would boot up, but alas it would get to the coalescing window display and crash. I never figured out why.

My choices were to spend $200 on a new version of Windows that was worse than the one I lost, or switch to Linux. Guess which I did?

donatj 16 July 2025
Windows 11 not working on otherwise perfectly good PCs I imagine is at least a small part of it. I've got an 8-core Ryzen system I think from 2016 that's still very powerful and more than good enough for my needs, but Microsoft is insisting I "throw it away and buy a new one", in this economy no less!

I also think a number of influencers like PewDiePie moving to Linux has to have moved the needle at least a little as well.

Workaccount2 16 July 2025
Linux will be stuck in the 5% range as long as people who love Linux are the ones making Linux.

You still cannot crtl+V in the terminal. No faster way to scare off users than give them a CLI heavy OS and have the trip over the very first copy+paste command they try to run (once they figure out the circa ~1982 cursor)

I really cannot say enough about the total fumble of Linux distros in an age when people are more desperate than ever to leave Windows.

fuck_AI 16 July 2025
Microsoft <3 Linux so much, they ruined Windows so people would switch to Linux. Thank you Microsoft!

Seriously though, I switched to Linux late last year and haven't looked back. It has everything I need for a computer and a lot of the "problems" people say is holding them back from switching full-time are greatly exaggerated. Like if you're not willing to make some small compromises so you can have a computer that respects you as a human and not a metric then I don't know what to tell you.

sschueller 16 July 2025
I hope we get to a point where enough "professionals" are using it to force companies like Acrobat to offer Linux versions of their software (cough Fusion 360). It is the only thing keeping me from completely ditching my windows VM. Using CAD in a virtulabox VM is torture. FreeCAD is sadly not a viable replacement (maybe in the future but a lot of work is needed). I was able to switch to other tools for other things like KiCAD for PCB work, Blender and DaVinci Resolve also work great.
totisjosema 16 July 2025
I really liked the recent picture of Linus Torvalds and Bill gets, hard to believe that after all these years of “competition,” they had never actually met before. https://www.reddit.com/r/linux/comments/1lh34ox/linus_torval...
taf2 16 July 2025
I play all my video games on linux - heros of the storm, sc2, warcraft 2, counter strike... very stable much nicer then what i remember from windoze...
mousethatroared 16 July 2025
For me, Linux became a viable desktop OS when Steve Jobs killed flash and browsers could render any page independently of the OS.

Then Office 365 came around and I could do quick work w/out a windows machine.

pessimizer 16 July 2025
Linux now has a bigger desktop marketshare than firefox. I never would have imagined history would turn out like this. Firefox had the easy job and desktop Linux had the hard one.

This will lead to a virtuous circle for Linux unless someone does something; privacy issues are leading people to the OSes where you get to freely choose your level of privacy. Anybody have any more weird old unix patents to throw at them and slow it down?

edit: maybe the way to stop Linux is heat up the war against all general purpose computing. Linux could be used to run unauthorized AI.

queuebert 16 July 2025
Anecdotally, I have two gaming desktops for my kids in the same place, side by side. They don't know much about computers, but they greatly prefer to use the Linux one and only use the Windows one when forced to, like because Microsoft bought Minecraft and only puts out Education Edition for Windows. They seem to navigate Ubuntu much easier than Windows, and that machine gives them less trouble and is snappier.
QuadrupleA 16 July 2025
Recently moved to Arch Linux after 25+ years on Windows. It was a LOT of work (my whole career is on the computer and I have a lot of custom scripts and tools), but I'm so happy with the result.

No more hundreds of background processes sapping my battery life and performance.

No more blatantly manipulative ads every time Windows updates, about how I won't be "safe" unless I sign up for OneDrive, switch to Edge, and subscribe to Office Live Dynamics Pro Limited 365, because now word processing and spreadsheets are a subscription for some fucking reason.

No more 3 different generations of UI styles sloppily bolted together (though Linux desktop styling can be plenty sloppy).

No more news feeds in my start menu and task bar filled with the outrage and statistically improbable evil human acts of the day, no doubt with MS ads, alongside prods to install Candy Crush and other crap.

No more whack-a-mole MS telemetry I have to read obscure guides to find out how to turn off.

No more needing to sign in to a FUCKING CLOUD ACCOUNT to use my own computer.

No more stupid crap like copilot, sucking screenshots and forwarding them to MS and OpenAI, and other sparkly AI icons on every damn thing.

Haven't booted Windows in a month or two. So happy to have switched - my computer belongs to me again, for the first time in a long while

exiguus 16 July 2025
My perspective is that the Steam Deck significantly contributes to this increase.

Additionally, a smaller factor could be the growing trend of Dev and Op professionals moving from Macs to Linux. And the trend before, to move from Windows to Mac's because they are cheaper to administrate. This shift is supported by manufacturers like Dell and Lenovo, who are providing more devices with Linux pre-installed, aligning well with the supply chain requirements of IT departments.

Also, at least for me, it's hard to envision vendors specialising in Linux desktop hardware, such as Tuxedo, Framework, and System76, experiencing a surge in their market shares. I am very curious to see their numbers and the kind of people and companies that buy this products.

buyucu 16 July 2025
I don't get the anti-Linux hate that some people have. I get apathy, it's normal not to care. But I don't understand why anyone would actively root against a free and open alternative.

This is great news btw, and consistent with what is coming out of the Steam survey.

jksmith 16 July 2025
Comment generator: "Concerns about privacy invasions, adware, and forced updates in Windows are pushing users away. Many users are fed up with Microsoft "urging users to train their AI for free"."

1) Windows chatting behind your back causes distrust. And for good reason. 2) Yes, forced updates, but the consumers don't understand that they're just crofters in MSFT's world with all MSFT's products. MSFT will update as much as fits their needs to protect their property, not yours. 3) Re: adware. Part of your relationship with MSFT is that you are the commodity. It's a general internet business revenue model.

theowhfbfn 16 July 2025
Is SteamOS included? I am not really surprised. Linux is quite often only usable option, now when Win 10 is not really supported.
Pxtl 16 July 2025
Personally I'm taking another kick at Linux desktop in advance of Win11, I installed Mint with Cinnamon... and I gotta say, I'm kinda disappointed how many pain points there still are. Type in your admin password every 5 seconds just to install routine updates, ugly-ass GRUB screens, confusing UI, and SDL2 games being half-broken with resolution-switching and audio. Installing software still involves bouncing around figuring out if I want the Flatpak or to add a new Apt source or what.

So I'm assuming these "5% desktop market share" aren't using that kind of distro.

schmudde 16 July 2025
The web browser app paradigm changed everything. The Windows API isn't nearly as important as it once was.
DevKoala 16 July 2025
I am doing my part.

I wanted a gaming PC forever but I just couldn’t stomach Windows. I had a great experience with the Steam Deck in the past 2 years so I built a Bazzite desktop. I am having a lot of fun.

intellectronica 16 July 2025
Very cool! If you extrapolate the current trend by 2073 Linux will dominate the desktop market.
lunaticman 16 July 2025
My step dad doesn't know how to share links over messenger (constantly sends me screenshots of pages), but he runs Thinkpad Manjaro for last 3 years without issues. At first, I was afraid that I will have to do some sort of support regularly or answer questions, but besides "Which music player should I install?" it was crickets for the last 3 years.
throwpoaster 16 July 2025
2025: The Year of the Linux Desktop! [0]

0: https://hackaday.com/2025/06/03/my-winter-of-99-the-year-of-...

ModernMech 16 July 2025
I will say though, I teach in Computer Science at university, and every semester in a class of 100, there's only ever at max just 1 student who has a Linux distro of any flavor on their laptop. Usually it's 0. It's pretty sad if you ask me.
kwar13 16 July 2025
I installed Ubuntu on my laptop 5 years ago and haven't looked back. Windows at this point just feels like crappy spyware. Not a single thing I miss about Windows.

Also gaming on Linux works great for the most part with Proton. Thanks Steam!

ensocode 16 July 2025
Regarding Steam: Some people used to avoid Linux because of gaming, but that’s changed quite a bit. With Proton and native support for many titles, the barrier to switching is much lower now. Great news anyway :)
mistyvales 18 July 2025
Finally switched full time to Fedora KDE back in 2018 and only use Windows in QEMU KVM's. Of course my work laptop is Apple.

I am no power user by any means, but everything I do is supported: minor web dev, Davinci, Blender, Steam, even Battle.net running on Bottles (Diablo II: Resurrected has never crash once and runs at an excellent frame rate), basic browsing, etc. I get random issues here and there, but I also did on Windows and still do on Mac OS.

No regerts.

mdnahas 18 July 2025
Anecdote: I’ve run Linux and MacOS. I switched to Linux when Apple hardware got stupid expensive (soldered memory and harddrive) and Dell offered laptops with Linux installed. My brother was always saying “Apple just works … less hassle”. But he’s now worried about expense and privacy and moving to Linux.

I feel like the geeky bleeding edge is leaving Apple for Linux.

AstroBen 16 July 2025
I wonder how much of this is driven by Linux gaming performance: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44560913

I've used all three OS's for many years and I really just.. don't care which one I'm on anymore. They all do the same thing. Currently on windows 11 after ~5 years of debian gnome and its fine. Enjoyable even, especially with WSL. GUI software support is much better here

tristor 16 July 2025
Makes sense, I now do the majority of my personal workflows, except for photography, on Arch Linux on a Framework 13 laptop. I still have a M1 MBP for personal use that I primarily use for photography and not much else. There's a very minimal set of "normal" use cases that cannot be served on Linux at this point, and Linux desktops are more stable in the ways that matter to users now than the alternatives.
chrsw 16 July 2025
Impressive because nobody has ever successfully made a Linux desktop computer targeted at consumers the way Apple has. I wouldn't count Chromebooks or Android devices. I mean a system you would use as a workstation or a power user's computer. And I don't mean a Windows PC that you have the option of pre-installing Linux on like from Dell or HP. I mean a computer designed and built around Linux.
Zigurd 16 July 2025
The posts on this thread arguing that Android is not a real Linux should take a look at the increasingly blurred lines between MacOS and iPadOS. Android tablets are on a similar trajectory. ChromeOS Flex pretty much is a desktop Linux distro with an Android runtime.

Some people will find the idea of elements of a mobile OS on their desktop attractive. Other people will find it less unattractive than buying a new PC to run Windows 11.

gethly 16 July 2025
Windows 11 and Steam OS are starting to make impact. I am sticking to Windows 10 until is stops working but I think Linux might be finally in my future.
strangescript 16 July 2025
I feel like this is more about Linux remaining reliable and the other platforms getting worse, rather than Linux getting substantially better.

I no longer have a windows machine. If I can't get a game to run on Linux then I don't bother with it. I played Clair Obscur start, to finish, in Mint on a 3090 with zero issues. I just forced it to load in steam since linux isn't officially supported.

Symmetry 16 July 2025
That's twice the number Valve reports for Steam users which includes a lot of Steam Decks that come with Linux installed, so it seems high, I would have guessed somewhere in the 1 to 2 percent range. In some countries you have mass Linux deployments to schools or government IT systems that could give you a number like this but I'm not sure what could be driving it in the US.
IndrekR 16 July 2025
I would not be too surprised to find out that significant portion of Linux on Desktop here is actually headless Chrome web scraping.
Nevermark 20 July 2025
If you resize the plot to be very skinny, it becomes very visually apparent that the growth in Linux is extreme, given the time period is only one year.
sergiotapia 16 July 2025
Microsoft is killing it's platform. One egregious example is their efficiency mode that literally cripples your computer in the name of some misguided "green initiatives".

I primarily went back to Linux Mint because of this problem. Thankfully Steam allows me to game my library just like on Windows. I have no reason to return.

hluska 16 July 2025
This is anecdata, but with my own very limited (by choice) website analytics, I see a strong correlation between Linux users and headless browsers. So while my Linux user base seems higher than ever before so is my headless traffic. When I remove headless traffic, my Linux user base is in that 2-3.x% region.
sirjaz 16 July 2025
Have people looked at the numbers? Chromeos and Linux have swapped, and if you include the unknown OS which are most likely Windows behind a corporate proxy it is back up to 70% of the market. In addition, the number of sites statcounter pulls from us dropped in half in the last three years if that matters.
k_bx 16 July 2025
I remember when it was absolutely crucial for your desktop/laptop to be able to do everything and Linux was a no go for people. Today you can live off your phone and be OK, so Linux actually makes much more sense. Camera/audio doesn't work well? No worries, just call via phone.
lvl155 16 July 2025
I think adoption has to do with the fact that desktop environment efforts are divided across so many distros.
globalise83 16 July 2025
My suspicion is that many folks are converting their old MacBooks etc which no longer have support to keep running Linux. I have about 4 such machines of different brands lying about the house, some over 10 years old and they run just fine despite their antiquated hardware.
jasoneckert 16 July 2025
This begs the question: At what threshold would we consider it 'the year of Linux on the desktop'?

5% seems too low. Would it be 30%? Or 51%?

Answering that question in the public sphere may quell many of the "Is ___ going to the year of the Linux desktop?" posts we get each year.

theanonymousone 16 July 2025
I can't think of any logical reason to exclude ChromeOS and count it separately,and a good portion of the "Unknown" category may as well be Linux.

The "real" number shouldn't be far from 10%, if not already exceeding it.

api 16 July 2025
I’ve said for over a decade that Linux can win a huge chunk of the desktop if it just stays as good as it is and waits. Meanwhile Microsoft keeps making Windows suck more.

Apple could do the same to some extent if they cut their prices some.

roody15 16 July 2025
It’s surprising to me it’s not higher. Gaming is excellent on Linux and Windows 11 is simply not good. Just a relative easier distro like Ubuntu is outstanding and learning curve is lower than ever.
beebmam 16 July 2025
I have a great computer, but it isn't compatible with Windows 11, so now I'm using Ubuntu on it. It's not ideal, but at least it's not a brick. I hate the requirements for Windows 11.
7e 16 July 2025
These stats are bogus: OS X market share drops by 50% in a few months, macOS market share at zero for most of last twelve months. Windows market share goes up 8% in a few months? Total garbage.
arrty88 16 July 2025
Are people just running headless / full chrome on *nix from data centers to scrape webpages for AI and data mining? Did the article mention anything about checking IP address?
wolfi1 16 July 2025
And it could get into double digits, now Win 10 is phased out. Let's face it, if you are just a regular user of a Personal Computer, you don't need Windows anymore
webprofusion 16 July 2025
How much of this is AI tools pretending to be users? If they use a real browser instead of identifying as a crawler then it's going to skew the stats.
snarfy 16 July 2025
Someone pinch me when VisualStudio runs under Wine/Proton with at least a silver rating. It is quite literally the only app keeping me on Windows.
apples_oranges 16 July 2025
Perhaps people don't want copilot and other enhancements but just an OS. Also Windows forcing certain CPUs for Win 11 could play a role.
pipeline_peak 16 July 2025
> The Steam Deck has been a game-changer

Then is this really an increase in Linux "desktop" market share? I'm aware that it's Arch based and can surely run as a desktop but I see it's contribution no different than if they included ChromeOS or Android with the 5% of Linux. A targeted platform more intended for the purpose of gaming.

Desktop Linux's biggest obstacles have always been hardware/software compatibility, and user friendliness for average users. If they're going to list "Windows Woes", then how much of this increase is actually happening on the REAL forefront of Desktop Linux: Ubuntu, Mint and so forth?

Havoc 16 July 2025
Pretty sure most of the recent gains are coming from gamers

It’s becoming a more viable option - assuming you don’t need multiplayer with anticheat

itsalotoffun 16 July 2025
And at this rate, 6% by 2035, come onnnnn!
sylware 16 July 2025
I still wonder how they can know that reliably.

elf/linux distros are hardly pre-installed on PCs and forced upon users.

gootz 16 July 2025
Very cool. My take on the growth...Chat bots make it very easy to find commands and troubleshoot issues.
goob_nl 16 July 2025
Yay PewDiePie
KETpXDDzR 17 July 2025
Thanks Microsoft for making Windows so crappy that ppl switch to Linux!
deadbabe 16 July 2025
There’s no reliable way to collect this data. Linux “desktops” could just be bots.
bboygravity 16 July 2025
Is this because Linux became so good or because Windows 11 is so terrible?

I guess a bit of both.

Shorel 16 July 2025
This is huge =)

I remember the days when we were under 1%.

Congratulations to all involved on making this true.

rhabarba 16 July 2025
Still looking forward to the year of the Plan 9 desktop. I'm helping!
oceanhaiyang 16 July 2025
Thanks to Linux I’m still rocking a surface pro 3. Will never look back
throwaway342110 22 July 2025
What year is it?
giantg2 16 July 2025
That's enough that we could form a 3rd political party.
iLoveOncall 16 July 2025
I don't believe this number for even a second.
billy99k 16 July 2025
WSL+windows replaced the Linux desktop for me.
jarredkenny 16 July 2025
is this the year of the linux desktop?
kristianpaul 16 July 2025
Wasnt this what Mac looked 15y ago?
sylens 16 July 2025
There has been noticeable momentum this year with the Windows 10 end of support date looming near and the continued enshittification of Windows 11.
bikamonki 16 July 2025
Been there since 0.5% :)
AgentElement 17 July 2025
This is not surprising, and further growth is inevitable. I am heavily involved in a local Linux users group, and the number of people switching away from Windows increases every year. Anecdotal, of course, but Microsoft's enshittification of Windows makes the argument in favor of a free OS easier every year too.
milosz 18 July 2025
installed Omakub by @dhh (let say "opinionated setup" based on Ubuntu) few days ago, look how cool it looks: https://x.com/szolim/status/1943798085806702988/photo/1

also there is a sister project for Arch: https://omarchy.org/

gergely 16 July 2025
Finally! It is the year of the Linux Desktop! :D
schnable 16 July 2025
Is this the year of Linux on the desktop?
warmwaffles 16 July 2025
There are dozens of us. Dozens I say!
renegat0x0 16 July 2025
I do self hosting at home. Some of my friends are too. I own several SBCs. I wonder if the number of computers per tech makes a difference.
dankobgd 16 July 2025
this is the year of Linux
tropicalfruit 16 July 2025
> install linux

> 1 week later PC stops booting